Andres Moya

Department of Economics
Universidad de los Andes
Calle 19A # 1 – 37E
Bogotá, Colombia

E-Mail: a.moya@uniandes.edu.co
Institutional Affiliation: University of Los Andes

NBER Working Papers and Publications

September 2014Violence and the Formation of Hopelessness and Pessimistic Prospects of Upward Mobility in Colombia
with Michael Carter: w20463
We explore the impact of violence on perceived prospects of upward mobility. For a sample of victims of violence in Colombia, we bring together data on expected upward mobility, exposure to violence, and symptoms of psychological trauma. After controlling for material losses and current circumstances, we find that exposure to more severe violence leads victims’ perceived prospects of upward mobility to become increasingly hopeless. The estimated impacts are large: victims exposed to more severe violence expect that the likelihood of being in extreme poverty in the long-run is more than two times as high than those exposed to less severe violence. Additional evidence indicates that depression and psychological trauma mediate this result, identifying a channel by which these pessimistic expe...
July 2010Do Conflicts Create Poverty Traps? Asset Losses and Recovery for Displaced Households in Colombia
with Ana María Ibañez
in The Economics of Crime: Lessons for and from Latin America, Rafael Di Tella, Sebastian Edwards, and Ernesto Schargrodsky, editors

National Bureau of Economic Research
1050 Massachusetts Ave.
Cambridge, MA 02138

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