Tao Zha

Department of Economics
Emory University
Rich Memorial Building
1602 Fishburne Drive
Atlanta, GA 30322-2240

E-Mail: EmailAddress: hidden: you can email any NBER-related person as first underscore last at nber dot org
NBER Program Affiliations: EFG , ME
NBER Affiliation: Research Associate
Institutional Affiliations: Emory University and Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

NBER Working Papers and Publications

June 2020Estimating and Forecasting Disease Scenarios for COVID-19 with an SIR Model
with Andrew Atkeson, Karen Kopecky: w27335
May 2020Cyclical Lending Standards: A Structural Analysis
with Kaiji Chen, Patrick C. Higgins: w27214
March 2019A Theory of Housing Demand Shocks
with Zheng Liu, Pengfei Wang: w25667
November 2018Macroeconomic Effects of China's Financial Policies
with Kaiji Chen: w25222
May 2017The Nexus of Monetary Policy and Shadow Banking in China
with Kaiji Chen, Jue Ren: w23377

Published: Kaiji Chen & Jue Ren & Tao Zha, 2018. "The Nexus of Monetary Policy and Shadow Banking in China," American Economic Review, vol 108(12), pages 3891-3936. citation courtesy of

September 2016Impacts of Monetary Stimulus on Credit Allocation and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from China
with Kaiji Chen, Patrick Higgins, Daniel F. Waggoner: w22650
July 2016Forecasting China's Economic Growth and Inflation
with Patrick Higgins, Karen Zhong: w22402

Published: Patrick Higgins & Tao Zha & Wenna Zhong, 2016. "Forecasting China's economic growth and inflation," China Economic Review, . citation courtesy of

January 2016What We Learn from China's Rising Shadow Banking: Exploring the Nexus of Monetary Tightening and Banks' Role in Entrusted Lending
with Kaiji Chen, Jue Ren: w21890

Published: Chen, Kaiji, Jue Ren, and Tao Zha. 2018. "The Nexus of Monetary Policy and Shadow Banking in China." American Economic Review, 108 (12): 3891-3936.

June 2015Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy
with Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, Daniel F. Waggoner
in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2015, Volume 30, Martin Eichenbaum and Jonathan A. Parker, editors
Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy
with Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, Daniel F. Waggoner: w21244
August 2014Perturbation Methods for Markov-Switching DSGE Models
with Andrew Foerster, Juan Rubio-Ramírez, Daniel F. Waggoner: w20390

Published: Andrew Foerster & Juan F. Rubio‐Ramírez & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2016. "Perturbation methods for Markov‐switching dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 7(2), pages 637-669, 07. citation courtesy of

Discount Shock, Price-Rent Dynamics, and the Business Cycle
with Jianjun Miao, Pengfei Wang: w20377
August 2013Land Prices and Unemployment
with Zheng Liu, Jianjun Miao: w19382

Published: Liu, Zheng & Miao, Jianjun & Zha, Tao, 2016. "Land prices and unemployment," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 86-105. citation courtesy of

January 2012Confronting Model Misspecification in Macroeconomics
with Daniel F. Waggoner: w17791

Published: Waggoner, Daniel F. & Zha, Tao, 2012. "Confronting model misspecification in macroeconomics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(2), pages 167-184. citation courtesy of

May 2011Land-price dynamics and macroeconomic fluctuations
with Zheng Liu, Pengfei Wang: w17045

Published: Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Tao Zha, 2013. "Land‐Price Dynamics and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(3), pages 1147-1184, 05. citation courtesy of

February 2009Understanding Markov-Switching Rational Expectations Models
with Roger E.A. Farmer, Daniel F. Waggoner: w14710

Published: Farmer, Roger E.A. & Waggoner, Daniel F. & Zha, Tao, 2009. "Understanding Markov-switching rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 144(5), pages 1849-1867, September. citation courtesy of

March 2007Understanding the New-Keynesian Model when Monetary Policy Switches Regimes
with Roger E.A. Farmer, Daniel F. Waggoner: w12965
October 2006The Conquest of South American Inflation
with Thomas Sargent, Noah Williams: w12606

Published: Thomas Sargent & Noah Williams & Tao Zha, 2009. "The Conquest of South American Inflation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 117(2), pages 211-256, 04. citation courtesy of

September 2006Indeterminacy in a Forward Looking Regime Switching Model
with Roger E. A. Farmer, Daniel F. Waggoner: w12540

Published: Roger E. A. Farmer & Daniel F. Waggoner & Tao Zha, 2009. "Indeterminacy in a forward-looking regime switching model," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 5(1), pages 69-84. citation courtesy of

September 2004Shocks and Government Beliefs: The Rise and Fall of American Inflation
with Thomas Sargent, Noah Williams: w10764

Published: Sargent, Thomas, Noah Williams and Tao Zha. "Shocks And Government Beliefs: The Rise And Fall Of American Inflation," American Economic Review, 2006, v96(4,Sep), 1193-1224. citation courtesy of

September 2002Modest Policy Interventions
with Eric M. Leeper: w9192

Published: Leeper, Eric M. and Tao Zha. "Modest Policy Interventions," Journal of Monetary Economics, 2003, v50(8,Nov), 1673-1700. citation courtesy of

July 2002Empirical Analysis of Policy Interventions
with Eric M. Leeper: w9063

Published: Eric Leeper & Tao Zha, 2002. "Empirical analysis of policy interventions," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Mar. citation courtesy of

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